Handouts

The Risk or Operational Efficiency Matrix

-> Matrix used by auditing & consultancy companies.

Axes:

-> In both we consider the average of the industry where the co9mpany is competing (available online).

  • Risk expressed in terms of D/E;
  • Operational Efficiency in terms of ROA.

ORIZONTAL (Operational Efficiency) AXIS: ROA, Return On Assets (=EBIT/Tot Assets) ->  revenue/ operating costs;

  • IDEA: understand operational efficiency of the company
  • How well the middle management use the resources gived;
  • Operative activities;
  • OVERPERFORMING the MARKET: when ROA > industry average.
  • ROA < industry average => company is not exploiting its competitive advantage in the right way.

VERTICAL (Risk) AXIS: tot liabilities/ revenue;

  • There are different formulas;
  • Financial activities;
  • Average  refers to the average of the industry (same industry) of the L. over the revenue;

-> PARETO APPROACH: Consider whose company that the sum of the revenue is equal to the 80’% of the industry.

(theoretical prospective we should use everyone in the industry)

  • The assumption that the two up sector are risky is wrong, they’re riskier than the average.
  • If D/E (of company) > 3 => company is in risk.

-> Is a psicological ratio and rappresent the original shape

  • Higher the interest costs <=> higher the probability that EBIT won’t cover them and the net income could be negative.

Why company is able to generate profit? -> To understand the capability of profit of the comany.

-> Bank ask the company to pay higher costs for financial debts because they’re more risk.

  • Financial costs structure would be more high.

The Quadrants:

🚫BAN AREA: EBIT 🔻; Interest Cost 🔺 (ICR probably low); Should be avoided; Financial costs and debit high. EBIT/A < 1 => company can’t pay debts;  THUNDERBOLTS AREA: company is the leader EBIT 🔺; Interest Cost 🔺; if EBIT 🔻 & financial costs remain as they are => you’re in a storm, is a risky situation; ACR: EBIT / Financial costs = 1 (they’re similar).
CLOUD/ FOGGY AREA: Company is a follower. EBIT 🔻; Interest Cost 🔻; -> Small EBIT and even financial costs => not problematic but isn’t clear how’s going the company;🤑HAPPY FACE: company is the market leader; EBIT 🔺; Financial costs 🔻 (low interest costs); ❓Is the situation stable?

Moving to the right horizontally is IMPOSSIBLE: it means that the company should change its competitive advantage and become the market leader, increase the CA without increase the Investments (impossible).

The “Ideal Journey”:

☁ Company is not competitive and needs changes.

=> Tipically create new assets (tangible or intangible) -> ask money (baks, shareholders) => Have debts

EBIT/Financial debts 🔺

EBIT (=) => moving to the left/top -> 🚫

-> When assets start to work => ⚡

-> When investments are paying back => 🤑

⚠We’ve to consider COMPETITORS:

  • They decrease the price of the product;
  • Company’s not able to decrease the revenu

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